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+---
+title: How are you responding to uncertainty ?
+date: 2023-03-28T10:25:53.083Z
+slug: 2023-03-28-uncertainty
+author: Thomas Wilson
+
+---
+There's a one-two combo with some kind of hard problems: you have to ask "what do I need to do?" and then "how do I know if that worked?".
+
+Surprise!  It's actually a three-punch combo (*pow!*).  It is _even harder_ if you do something, but won't quickly or easily see if you did the right thing.
+
+Some big life examples are asking if you should buy property, move city/country, change careers, or marry a person.
+
+The more mundane ones might be deciding what book to read next, if you need to learn the new Tech Toy *Du Jour*, what to wear to dinner, or what cocktail to order.
+
+The eponymous *uncertainty* of this post is a greater-than-the-sum-of-its-parts mix of not knowing about what you will do, what you have done, and what you could do.  It's sort of amazing we ever get anything done. 
+
+I've seen a couple of archetypal responses to these problems:
+
+1. Over-prepare: double check your working, pre-define success and failure, record the metrics and plan your responses; or
+2. Do not prepare: treat the problem as though it was any problem and act as though it is not especially to un-do decisions.
+
+These are extremes, and I don't think they're that interesting to talk about in specific.  In reality, people are a mixture.
+
+I think it's more useful to recognise when being uncertain about something makes it hard for you to move even a centimetre closer to certainty.  It might be stopping you from trying something, or it might blind you to something you didn't think about.
+
+Ask yourself (and people around you) what's uncertain, and how you're reacting to the uncertainty.
+
+Fwiw, I don't think extreme above will strongly correlate with success or failure if you average it out over enough time.  From a self-awareness point, I fall far into the latter: I think you'll learn more by *doing* than by preparing to do.  But there are some things where you can't un-do or re-do easily, so better attention to detail and foresight will be a boon.
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